Follow these 5 on Preakness weekend.
Catching Freedom hasn’t run a bad race in six starts, most notably winning the Louisiana Derby (G2) before rallying to finish fourth by 1 3/4 lengths in the Kentucky Derby. He’ll continue his Triple Crown journey with a start in Saturday’s 13th race at Pimlico, the Preakness, post time 7:01 p.m. EDT.
Catching Freedom stacks up well against the Preakness field from a Brisnet speed rating perspective, especially following the scratch of morning line favorite Muth due to a fever. But there isn’t much speed in the Preakness field, so we’ll have to see if Catching Freedom, a pure stretch runner, can overcome a potentially slow pace.
Disarm was coming to hand quite nicely as a 3-year-old last summer. After finishing fourth in the Kentucky Derby, he won the Matt Winn (G3), finished a close fourth against a deep field in the Jim Dandy (G2) and then ran second by a length in the Travers (G1).
Unfortunately, Disarm went to the sidelines after the Travers, but he returned to serious training earlier this year and will make his 4-year-old debut in Saturday’s fourth race at Churchill Downs, a 1 1/16-mile $80,000 allowance optional claimer (post time 7:26 p.m.). Disarm towers over the field from a Brisnet Speed rating standpoint and enters off a bullet five-furlong workout in 59.8 seconds at Churchill Downs, so the stage is set for a winning comeback.
In Theory was a sharp debut winner sprinting six furlongs against maiden special weight competition at Santa Anta, leading all the way to beat older rivals by three lengths. She subsequently faced fellow 3-year-olds in a 6 1/2-furlong allowance over the same track; after stumbling at the start and recovering to launch a challenge, she flattened out to finish third by three lengths.
Now In Theory is stretching out in distance for Friday’s fifth race at Santa Anita, a one-mile $150,000 allowance optional claimer, post time 6:07 p.m. EDT. If she breaks cleanly and returns to pacesetting tactics, the Bob Baffert trainee has the potential to challenge for victory.
When Mystik Dan gets his trip, he’s one of the best 3-year-olds in the country. He saved ground every step of the way to dominate the Southwest (G3) at Oaklawn by eight lengths, and two weeks ago he employed the same tactics to win the Kentucky Derby by a nose.
Can Mystik Dan work out another perfect trip in the Preakness? He’ll break from post 4 with a trio of deep closers to his inside, so he shouldn’t have any trouble reaching the rail and saving ground early on. Whether he’s able to stay inside or is forced to shift outside for racing room remains to be seen, but if Mystik Dan brings his A-game, he’ll be a win threat regardless.
Tuscan Sky showed lots of promise in his first two starts. He debuted in a six-furlong maiden special weight at Aqueduct, which he dominated by 5 1/4 lengths with a 97 Brisnet speed rating. He matched that number when stepping up in class and distance for a 1 1/16-mile $100,000 allowance optional claimer at Fair Grounds, scoring by two lengths over Nash, who has since won the Hot Springs and finished second in the Pat Day Mile (G2).
Tuscan Sky misfired when making his third start in the Wood Memorial (G2), racing off the pace throughout on his way to seventh place. If he can return to the pressing or stalking tactics he employed in his first two starts, Tuscan Sky has the talent to challenge for victory in Saturday’s 10th race at Pimlico, the Sir Barton, post time 4:10 p.m. EDT.